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Annual births in sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ in 2024 projected to fall under 40,000 — a first since 1979

2021 marked the first time deaths outpaced births and the trend appears to be accelerating.
baby
sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ is seeing fewer little hands and toes these days.

The sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ government announced on the last day of 2024 that there were 38,103 registered births in the province this year, as of Dec. 16.

While there remains two weeks of uncounted births, sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ has seen, on average, about 3,200 births each December over the past five years.

This means it is highly likely the total number of births will be less than 40,000 — a first since 1979, according to Statistics sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ and .

Births in sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ have been declining since 2016 (45,269) save for a bump in 2021 (44,050), the year following the most drastic COVID-19 restrictions. Births peaked in 1994 with 46,998.

, sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ registered 45,002 deaths and only 41,401 births as the fertility rate in sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ dropped to 1.0 — the lowest among all provinces and territories — and in sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ to 1.26.

The average child-bearing age in sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ in 2023 was 32.6 whereas in sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ it was 31.7.

It was 2021 when deaths (44,720) first outnumbered births (44,073) in the province’s history dating back to 1950, per Statistics sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ (figures vary slightly as compared to BC Vital Statistics).

To Oct. 31, 2024, the province had registered 35,946 deaths while it has seen about 8,000 deaths in November and December in the past three years, up from 6,677 in 2019. Keeping with that pace would put deaths around the 44,000 mark.

In 2022, the province recorded 45,998 deaths, the most in any one year in its history.

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