sa国际传媒’s construction industry led the way in job gains for a .
Despite the 10,200 jobs that the sector added in October, it wasn’t enough to stave off broader losses in other industries, according to data released Friday from Statistics sa国际传媒.
The province lost 4,000 jobs overall last month, with the most notable losses coming from educational services (-6,700 jobs) and information/culture/recreation (-6,700 jobs). The latter category is most often associated with the film industry.
While Hollywood writers recently resolved their labour action against studios, actors remain on strike and much of the local film industry remains on pause.
Despite the losses, the province’s unemployment rate stood unchanged at 5.4% as people left the workforce.
The national unemployment rate came in at 5.7 per cent, up 0.2 percentage points since September. sa国际传媒 added a total 17,500 jobs to the economy last month.
“A monthly rise of 17,500 would be about normal [five years ago] and would certainly have been enough to keep the unemployment rate steady. But with sa国际传媒's population growing at breakneck speed – the labour force is now growing at well over 50,000 people per month – such a job gain is simply not enough,” BMO chief economist Douglas Porter said in a note.
“Make no mistake that the underlying picture for sa国际传媒's labour market is softening.”
He expects the Bank of sa国际传媒 to remain on the sidelines when it makes its next interest decision in early December and that rate cuts remain a “distant prospect.”
“The [Bank of sa国际传媒] will still be cautious about easing off on the monetary policy brakes while inflation is still high. But signs of softening in labour markets should reinforce the decision to pause rate hikes for now and increase the odds that the next rate change will (eventually) be a cut,” RBC assistant chief economist Nathan Janzen said in a note.
“Our own base-case assumes the overnight rate will begin to move gradually lower in the second half of next year.”
TD senior economist James Orlando said the latest national jobs numbers will perpetuate the ongoing "is this a recession?" debate about the economy.
“While this certainly isn't a recession as there is no depth, duration or breadth, weakness is present. The number of unemployed workers keeps rising, while cyclically sensitive private sector hiring has been retreating for months,” he said in a note.
He expects the central bank to hold off on any rate hikes in December.
