COVID-19 has killed more people in long-term care homes than anywhere else in British Columbia. Now, a sweeping new study is setting out to answer the question: Why聽them?
The study, which involves over a dozen of sa国际传媒鈥檚 leading virologists, immunologists and lab researchers, hinges on how elderly immune systems respond to a coronavirus infection. From there, researchers will look at elderly immune responses to vaccines 鈥� both in those who never tested positive for the virus and those who recovered from a previous infection. 鈥淲e still don鈥檛 know why COVID is having such a devastating impact on long-term care, especially the residents,鈥� said lead researcher Dr. Marc Romney, a clinical associate professor in the Univeresity of sa国际传媒鈥檚 faculty of medicine and the medical leader for medical microbiology and virology at St. Paul鈥檚 Hospital.
A post-mortem in a deadly outbreak
Romney has spent his career tracking emerging pathogens, from SARS in California in the early 2000s to the global response to Ebola and outbreaks of C. difficile in sa国际传媒 hospitals 鈥� a bacteria causing a form of infectious diarrhea, especially deadly among seniors.
鈥淢ost of my career has been about emerging pathogens, viruses and bacteria 鈥� diagnosing them, controlling them,鈥� he said. 鈥淚鈥檓 in it for the long game.鈥�
Then came reports of a novel coronavirus in Wuhan, and like so many researchers, his work pivoted to the soon-to-be COVID-19 pandemic. As the head of St. Paul鈥檚 diagnostic laboratories, Romney was part of a team that went into the Holy Family Hospital long-term care facility in Vancouver after an outbreak erupted there in June.
Over the next couple of months, it would become one of the hardest hit facilities in sa国际传媒, suffering 21 deaths and a total of 88 confirmed COVID-19 cases. Later outbreaks in other areas of the facility would add to that toll, including five cases before the end of 2020 and another five in an ongoing outbreak at the facility鈥檚 second-floor rehab unit. 鈥淚鈥檇 helped to manage outbreaks of influenza and norovirus. But this was 颅completely different,鈥� said Romney. 鈥淭hat really opened my eyes to how people living in long-term care are suffering because of COVID.鈥�
Early on in the outbreak, Romney said he asked himself why the virus was 颅transmitting so quickly and why residents were suffering from such severe complications due to COVID-19.
鈥淧eople have different hypotheses, but there aren鈥檛 a huge amount of data 颅explaining that particular phenomenon,鈥� he said.
That鈥檚 when Romney and his team started drawing blood samples, not just from sick and healthy residents of Holy Family Hospital but from the facility鈥檚 staff as well. When the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine was given the green light in December, they rushed to draw a second set of pre-vaccinated blood samples. A third round of blood samples is being collected from these patients after they have receive the vaccine.
鈥淥ur study is unique,鈥� he said. 鈥淲e were one of the few places in sa国际传媒 to get that done before the vaccine arrived in December.鈥�
Those samples will form the building blocks of their investigation, though the group is looking to enrol another two to three hundred long-term care workers in cohorts spanning several age groups. In that way, the researchers can understand how immune responses (and viral behaviour) change with age.
鈥淭heir ages range from 20 to 60 and even above, so we will be including people of different age groups and we鈥檙e going to be looking at vaccine effectiveness in those individuals as well,鈥� said Romney.
A portrait of risk
Not all the work will be done in the lab. Health officials, medical staff and management in at least one of the deadliest outbreaks in sa国际传媒 have reported that wandering dementia patients present a serious challenge to containing the transmission of COVID-19 in long-term care.
But whether these wandering residents have a higher risk of infection is an open question, and one of many Romney and his team are looking to measure.
By combining clinical data, epidemiological data and social data within the facility, they hope to paint both a portrait of risk among some of the province鈥檚 most vulnerable and shed light on why despite making up only 0.0005 per cent of the population, nearly two-thirds of all COVID-19 deaths in sa国际传媒 鈥� including at least two of the 23 deaths recorded in the Island Health region 鈥� have occurred in long-term care homes.
Throughout the two- to three-year study, Romney said the group will be feeding their findings back to public health doctors, epidemiologists and practicing clinicians so they can quickly put what they鈥檝e discovered into action.
Seniors in long-term care were some of the first to get vaccinated in sa国际传媒 But just how effective those doses are in stimulating an immune response could mean life or death in any future outbreaks.
Romney said some members of his team will deploy tandem mass spectrometry to reveal the identity of antibody proteins in patients. By shattering the molecular building blocks of a blood sample into readable fragments, the technique is often used in hospitals to detect lifelong illness and disability in newborns.
The team will compare the antibodies in vaccinated and unvaccinated blood samples, with those who have recovered from a natural infection. That way, they hope to reveal whether natural or vaccine immunity is more durable and what parts of the immune system put up the biggest fight.
鈥淏ecause right now,鈥� Romney said, 鈥渨e don鈥檛 know: Is it months, is it years?鈥�
Dozens of 鈥渧ariants of concern鈥� have already been identified across sa国际传媒, from the highly contagious U.K. variant, B.1.1.7, to the South African variant, B.1.351, which has shown resistance to several vaccines.
As part of the 鈥渕assive鈥� study, Romney said researchers are leaving the door open to probe how the new variants impact seniors in long-term care.
And while, to date, he said there have been no cases of a 鈥渧ariant of concern鈥� in a sa国际传媒 long-term care facility, reports from colleagues in the U.K. and Ontario show its dangerous potential.
鈥淭hey have informed me that when the variant does arrive in a long-term care facility, it spreads like wildfire,鈥� added Romney, pointing to an outbreak in a Barrie, Ont., facility.
鈥淪o we just want to be prepared for this and understand why is that the case? Why is it so much more transmissible?鈥�
Positive coronavirus tests are already being screened at St. Paul鈥檚 Hospital using whole-genome sequencing, and if cases pop up in a sa国际传媒 long-term care facility, Romney said they will find them.
The researchers also have the ability to simulate mutated variant spike proteins in the lab, and by introducing the mutated variant to both vaccinated and unvaccinated elderly blood samples, they hope to understand just how much of a risk they present to long-term care residents.
鈥淲e鈥檙e hoping it doesn鈥檛 happen, of course, because we saw what happened in Barrie.鈥�
A long game
With over $2 million from sa国际传媒鈥檚 COVID-19 Immunity Task Force, the researchers from UBC, Simon Fraser University, Providence Health Care and the Centre for Excellence for HIV and AIDS at St. Paul鈥檚 are part of a massive effort to understand the extent of natural immunity in this country and how vaccines will protect Canadians.
In a second stage of the study, Alberta-based researchers are looking to monitor sewage wastewater to develop an early warning system to detect and monitor outbreaks in long-term care facilities.
And in a separate study funded by the task force, another group of sa国际传媒 researchers is looking to enrol over 5,000 paramedics to understand how their workplace makes them more vulnerable, and how better to protect them.
The compressed timelines and scale of such research have flipped the once plodding pace of science. But putting their results into action and finding a way out of this pandemic can obscure wider applications, and Romney said he always has his eye on the next emerging pathogen.
鈥淲hat we鈥檝e learned is this particular population is prone to viral outbreaks, be it influenza, norovirus or SARS-CoV-2. So this could be used as a model for other viral infections in long-term care.鈥�
鈥淎nd,鈥� he added, 鈥渇rom other viruses that have this pandemic potential.鈥�
鈥� With a file from the sa国际传媒
