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Macklem says low productivity growth is sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½â€™s ‘Achilles heel,’ calls for action

OTTAWA — Bank of sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ governor Tiff Macklem is sounding the alarm on sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½â€™s productivity problem and urging policymakers to dig into why the country struggles with low business investment.
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Bank of sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ governor Tiff Macklem is sounding the alarm on sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½â€™s productivity problem during a speech in Winnipeg today. Macklem takes part in a panel discussion at the Montreal Economic Forum, in Montreal, Wednesday, June 12, 2024. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ryan Remiorz

OTTAWA — Bank of sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ governor Tiff Macklem is sounding the alarm on sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½â€™s productivity problem and urging policymakers to dig into why the country struggles with low business investment.

According to prepared remarks he delivered to the Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce Monday, Macklem hailed the strengths of sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½â€™s job market, including high labour force participation, strong immigration and a solid education system.

The governor also reflected on the fact that the labour market has adjusted relatively well to higher interest rates, albeit some workers, including newcomers and young people, have been harder hit by rising unemployment.

But looking at the longer term economic picture, he warned productivity is the country’s weakness, noting that on average, businesses invest much less per worker in sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ than they do in the United States.

“Our Achilles heel is productivity. We have been very good at growing our economy by adding workers. We have been much less successful at increasing output per worker,†he said.

The governor’s comments echoed the central message of a speech senior deputy governor Carolyn Rogers gave in March, where she warned addressing low productivity has become a national emergency.

The issue of productivity is top-of-mind for many economists concerned that low business investment will depress living standards in the country.

Macklem said figuring out how to make sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ a better place to invest is critical to supporting non-inflationary economic growth and higher living standards.

Productivity growth, he said, helps businesses compete in global markets and supports higher wages for workers.

“And with an aging population and limits to how many immigrants we can successfully absorb each year, improving our productivity growth will become more important to sustaining trend growth,†Macklem said.

In a news conference later on Monday, the governor acknowledged that the solutions to sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½'s productivity problem are not in the central bank's hands.

"But our message is if you want more non-inflationary growth, we're going to need a concerted discussion between businesses, governments, and academics, civil society, on how are we going to get productivity growth up in sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½," he said.

Macklem offered some areas policymakers could tackle, including interprovincial trade barriers and sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½'s slow regulatory approvals.

The governor’s remarks come less than three weeks after the Bank of sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½ delivered the first interest rate cut in more than four years.

Encouraged by slowing inflation, the central bank lowered its policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point, bringing it to 4.75 per cent.

Macklem reiterated on Monday that if the economy and inflation evolve broadly in line with the central bank's expectations, it's "reasonable" to expect more rate cuts.

sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½â€™s inflation rate was 2.7 per cent in April. Inflation data for May is set to be released Tuesday by Statistics sa¹ú¼Ê´«Ã½.

High interest rates have slowed down the economy and cooled the job market, as well.

The unemployment rate has steadily increased over the last year, reaching 6.2 per cent in May.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published June 24, 2024.

Nojoud Al Mallees, The Canadian Press