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Saudi, UAE back OPEC cuts as US envoy warns of 'uncertainty'

ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates (AP) 鈥 Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates defended on Monday a decision by OPEC and its allies to cut oil production, even as an American envoy warned of 鈥渆conomic uncertainty鈥 ahead for the world.
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Second left to right; UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei, India's Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas & Housing Shri Hardeep Puri, the U.S. Envoy for Energy Affairs Amos Hochstein and Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources Tarek EI Molla attend the opening ceremony of the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition & Conference in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, Monday, Oct. 31, 2022. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates defended on Monday a decision by OPEC and its allies to cut oil production, even as an American envoy warned of "economic uncertainty" ahead for the world. (AP Photo/Kamran Jebreili)

ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates (AP) 鈥 Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates defended on Monday a decision by OPEC and its allies to cut oil production, even as an American envoy warned of 鈥渆conomic uncertainty鈥 ahead for the world.

While cordial, the comments at the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference showed the stark divide between the United States and Gulf Arab countries it supports militarily in the wider Middle East. Already, American politicians have threatened arms deals with the kingdom and described it as siding with Russian President Vladimir Putin amid his war on Ukraine.

Saudi Arabia鈥檚 energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, hinted at that in brief remarks at the event.

鈥淲e don鈥檛 owe it to anybody but us,鈥 the prince said to applause, noting that upcoming U.N. climate change summits will be held in Egypt and the United Arab Emirates. 鈥淚t was done for us, by us, for our future, and we need to commit ourselves to that.鈥

Emirati Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei echoed that defense. While saying that OPEC and its allies are "only a phone call away if the requirements are there鈥 to raise production, he offered no suggestion such a boost would be on its way anytime soon.

鈥淚 can assure you that we in the United Arab Emirates, as well as our fellow colleagues in OPEC+ are keen on supplying the world with the requirement it needs," al-Mazrouei said. "But at the same time, we鈥檙e not the only producers in the world.鈥

OPEC and a loose confederation of other countries led by Russia agreed in early October to .

OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, has insisted its decision came from concerns about the global economy. Analysts in the U.S. and Europe warn a recession looms in the West from inflation and subsequent interest rate hikes, as well as .

鈥淭he global economy is on the knife鈥檚 edge,鈥 insisted Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, the managing director of the state-run Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.

Natural gas as well has been affected. by the war, .

鈥淲e have to realize that a lot of people ... are facing a very difficult winter ahead in the U.K., in Europe and right across the world,鈥 BP CEO Bernard Looney said at the event in Abu Dhabi. 鈥淎nd we have to understand that that is a very difficult place for them to be.鈥

American politicians, meanwhile, have reacted angrily to a decision likely to keep gasoline prices elevated. An average gallon of regular gasoline in the U.S. now costs $3.76 鈥 down from a record $5 a gallon in June but still high enough to bite into consumers' wallets. Benchmark Brent crude oil sat at $95 a barrel Monday.

鈥淚 think at the end of the day, we are facing an economic uncertainty globally,鈥 said Amos Hochstein, the U.S. envoy for energy affairs. 鈥淓nergy prices have to be priced in a way that allow for economic growth. And if they are not ... they will rise too high and accelerate an economic downturn, which ultimately is the one thing that will be terrible for energy demand itself.鈥

Hochstein declined to speak to The Associated Press after appearing on stage at the Abu Dhabi conference.

President Joe Biden, who traveled to Saudi Arabia in July and , recently warned the kingdom that 鈥渢here鈥檚 going to be some consequences for what they've done.鈥

Saudi Arabia lashed back, publicly claiming the Biden administration sought a one-month delay in the OPEC cuts that .

The back-and-forth between Riyadh and Washington shows how tense relations remain between the two countries since the American intelligence agencies believe the slaying came at Prince Mohammed's order.

The Soufan Center, a New York-based think tank, said Monday that it appeared 鈥渢rust and mutual respect between the United States and Saudi Arabia appear to have reached a nadir" amid the dispute.

鈥淭he U.S.-Saudi relationship could fundamentally shift to an almost purely transactional one, characterized by 鈥榮trategic drift,鈥 as Riyadh continues to act against its own self-interest, a move borne of spite, not strategy,鈥 the center said.

"If Saudi Arabia again votes to cut production, it will lead to a further rift with the United States and will signal Riyadh鈥檚 growing drift closer to Moscow," it added.

Meanwhile, the world's thirst for oil only will increase. An OPEC outlook published Monday estimates by 2045, global demand for oil will reach 101 million barrels a day 鈥 up from 88 million barrels a day in 2021.

Oil will remain the world's No. 1 energy source, even with the growing concerns with global climate change, OPEC said.

鈥淭he reality globally, as we know, is that there is a huge shortfall in investments to meet this expected future demand growth," OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al Ghais said. "The sustainability of the global energy system is actually at stake.鈥

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Follow Jon Gambrell on Twitter at www.twitter.com/jongambrellAP.

Jon Gambrell, The Associated Press