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Turkey鈥檚 central bank raises interest rates again in another sign of normalizing economic policy

ANKARA, Turkey (AP) 鈥 Turkey鈥檚 central bank raised its key interest rate by an aggressive 7.5 percentage points on Thursday, in a new sign of a return to more traditional economic policies under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
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A seller waits for clients in a street market at Eminonu commercial area in Istanbul, Turkey, Wednesday, Aug. 23, 2023. (AP Photo/Khalil Hamra)

ANKARA, Turkey (AP) 鈥 Turkey鈥檚 central bank raised its key interest rate by an aggressive 7.5 percentage points on Thursday, in a new sign of a return to more traditional economic policies under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

The bank hiked its policy rate to 25% as it continues to backtrack from a rate-cutting course set by Erdogan, which has been blamed for inflaming a cost-of-living crisis. Many households have been left and basic goods as inflation has surged.

Erdogan has long argued that lowering interest rates helps fight inflation, a theory that runs contrary to traditional economic thinking.

Central banks around the world have been to bring consumer price rises under control following the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia鈥檚 war in Ukraine. The Turkish central bank, however, started cutting rates in late 2021 under pressure from Erdogan.

After , Erdogan appointed a new economic team, signaling a return to more conventional policies.

The team includes former Merrill Lynch banker Mehmet Simsek, who returned as finance minister, a post he held until 2018, and Hafize Gaye Erkan who took over . The first woman to hold that position, Erkan was previously co-chief executive of the now-failed San Francisco-based .

Following Erkan鈥檚 appointment, the bank raised the key policy rate by and then .

Before that, the central bank had cut its key interest rate from around 19% in 2021 to 8.5% earlier this year. Erdogan has fired three central bank governors who resisted pressure to cut rates before appointing Erkan鈥檚 predecessor in 2021.

The higher borrowing costs announced Thursday come as inflation reached 47.83% in July, down from a peak of more than 85% in October. Independent economists, however, say the real inflation rate is much higher 鈥 at nearly 123%.

鈥淲e are determined,鈥 Simsek wrote on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter. 鈥淧rice stability is our top priority.鈥

The central bank said it 鈥渄ecided to continue the monetary tightening process in order to establish the disinflation course as soon as possible, to anchor inflation expectations, and to control the deterioration in pricing behavior.鈥

Erkan has estimated that inflation will reach 58% at the end of the year 鈥 up from the 22.3% her predecessor had predicted.

Economists say Erdogan鈥檚 unorthodox policies exacerbated economic turmoil, leading to that have brought hardship to households.

Erdogan insists his economic model stimulates growth, exports and employment.

The Turkish lira has lost more than 30% of its value against the U.S. dollar since the start of the year. Experts say the central bank has depleted its foreign currency reserves as it tried to prop up the currency ahead of May鈥檚 elections.

Suzan Fraser, The Associated Press