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Lawrie McFarlane: Why has no Canadian premier ever become prime minister?

It seems remarkable that of sa国际传媒鈥檚 28聽prime ministers, not a single one was ever the premier of a province or territory. Any number certainly had the 颅qualifications required for the job.
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John Horgan is the country聮s most popular premier, but if he聮s considering a run for the top federal job, he should consider the lessons of past premiers who clung to office too long to consider moving up, writes Lawrie McFarlane. Chad Hipolito, THE CANADIAN PRESS

It seems remarkable that of sa国际传媒鈥檚 28聽prime ministers, not a single one was ever the premier of a province or territory.

Any number certainly had the 颅qualifications required for the job. Alberta鈥檚 Peter Lougheed, Saskatchewan鈥檚 Allan 颅Blakeney, Bill Davis from Ontario, Quebec鈥檚 Jean Charest, and Frank McKenna from New Brunswick come to mind.

We might add that no premier of sa国际传媒, sa国际传媒鈥檚 third-largest province, has ever been elected prime minister, or as best I can determine, even run for that office.

Almost without exception in the modern era, prime ministers began their careers as MPs. Yet the position of premier is in many respects far better training for the job.

Premiers have executive responsibilities greatly exceeding those of MPs, or even federal cabinet ministers. They would seem ideally suited.

It鈥檚 noteworthy that in the U.S., quite a few state governors 鈥 the rough equivalent of a Canadian premier 鈥 have ascended to the presidency. Since the war, they include George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan and Jimmy Carter.

So why has no premier made the jump to heading a national government? The 颅question takes on additional significance if we consider the leading contenders for that job when the next federal election is held.

Of the major party leaders, Justin Trudeau, Erin O鈥橳oole and Jagmeet Singh, none exhibits the sense of personal authority or broad grasp of issues that the 颅appointment calls for.

Trudeau was elected Liberal leader largely on the strength of his 颅youthfulness and family name. His previous 颅parliamentary career was undistinguished at best.

Erin O鈥橳oole, the Conservative leader, had the merest experience of executive office, having been minister of veteran affairs for only a few months before the Harper 颅administration was defeated. Why the Tories settled on this utterly uninspiring placeholder is one of nature鈥檚 mysteries.

You could say the same about Jagmeet Singh, and he didn鈥檛 even have a seat in 颅parliament when he was elected NDP leader.

Yet one of these three men will be 颅sa国际传媒鈥檚 next prime minister.

It might be thought that the requirement for bilingualism could be an obstacle. Yet English-speaking politicians have mustered enough French during the run-up to election campaigns to manage their way through.

A more credible explanation may be that premiers, as the heads of their governments, attract far more criticism than their junior colleagues.

sa国际传媒鈥檚 Mike Harcourt, a genuinely decent man, took the fall for the 鈥淏ingogate鈥 颅scandal, in which money raised by a charity was funnelled into party coffers.

A special prosecutor subsequently determined that Harcourt wasn鈥檛 responsible, but someone had to take the blame, and the buck stopped with him.

There is another consideration here, too. Successful politicians, both federal and 颅provincial, often cling to office well past the time when they should have quit.

Brian Mulroney did so, as indeed did Chr茅tien. Allan Blakeney made this mistake, likewise Ontario鈥檚 Kathleen Wynne and 颅arguably Gordon Campbell.

In short, by the time provincial premiers step aside, any opportunity for advancement may already have passed them by.

That time hasn鈥檛 come yet for the 颅country鈥檚 most popular premier, John Horgan. But if he has ambitions to walk across the national stage, it鈥檚 something he might want to consider.