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Les Leyne: Waiting for Dix to ‘do the right thing’

I was so busy spending money in the commercial tents at the Saanich Fair that it took a while to notice something significant. I’m a sucker for all the marmalades, preserves, chutneys and spice mixes on offer.

I was so busy spending money in the commercial tents at the Saanich Fair that it took a while to notice something significant.

I’m a sucker for all the marmalades, preserves, chutneys and spice mixes on offer. They represent all the home food projects I resolve to take on every summer and never do. And the more expensive they are, the more delicious they look.

So I was down $80, loaded up with haute cuisine goodies, planning to make it all back at the crown and anchor booth, when the novelty of this year’s layout dawned.

It’s the first fall fair in 146 years to feature not one, but two, elected Green party representatives.

Oak Bay-Gordon Head MLA Andrew Weaver made his debut in the fair’s Meeting and Greeting division of the Politicians Display.

It’s not a judged category, like Best Bloom in Show, or Six Vegetables on a Plate (Junior). But it should be.

Weaver seemed to acquit himself well. He was alongside federal Green MP Elizabeth May, who works the fair now like a veteran carny, lining up people for various upcoming town hall meetings. The pair are making another joint appearance this morning about the Northern Gateway pipeline, where they will take turns beating what’s starting to look like a dead horse.

saʴý Liberals were doing a fairly brisk trade at the fair, offering people a chance to vote with tickets on which issues matter to them. They offered six choices, and health and education topped the weekend poll.

Oddly enough, jobs and the economy wasn’t offered as a choice at the start. It may have dawned on them halfway through the fair that they won the election based on that issue. So they added it midway through, and it won a good share of votes.

The saʴý New Democratic Party booth close by seemed a bit quieter, although most New Democrats were at the party’s Labour Day picnic downtown.

The booth offered a petition against closing the visitors centre at the Centre of the Universe observatory, and another to do with lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgendered people’s rights in Russia.

They drew a steady trickle of visitors over the course of the day. But the Greens seemed to be drawing slightly heavier traffic. A spy told me the difference was more noticeable the previous day.

It suggests what many have observed — the NDP’s devastating loss to the Liberals in May is only part of their problem.

The toehold Weaver gained for the Greens is the other part. The four-month-old Green presence in the legislature may turn out to be a short-lived phenomenon, like the saʴý Reform caucus in the 1990s. But if it survives and thrives, it spells nothing but long-term trouble for the NDP.

That’s a problem that’s further out on the horizon than the party’s immediate crisis. The bigger issue revolves around that fatal political phrase, “do the right thing.” As in, will leader Adrian Dix?

Every time that phrase is used in politics, it involves a lot of angst. As it applies to the NDP leadership, it’s almost universally expected to mean Dix should step down. But after the loss, he gave himself until this month to make his intentions known. He’s sent no signals since then, despite a steady drumbeat from party personalities through the summer urging him to pack it in. But the time is drawing near.

This week, push has the potential to come to shove, as all 85 constituency groups start selecting delegates to go to the Nov. 15 convention. There’s a constitutional requirement for what amounts to a confidence vote on Dix at that convention. And there’s no expectation that he would survive such a vote.

With no signals yet that “the right thing” is going to be done, there’s concern that delegate-selection meetings will start to revolve around how prospective attendees should vote on Dix’s leadership. That could make things even more awkward for Dix than they already are. There’s also the party’s provincial council meeting set for Sept. 21 that could factor in the mix.

My hunch is that Dix knew he was toast about one hour into the vote count on May 14 and will eventually act on that realization. But he’s surprised me and others before.