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Math on extinctions doesn鈥檛 add up

Re: 鈥淭hese species went extinct in 2018, more doomed to follow,鈥 Jan. 6. The author of this article claims that we are facing a 鈥渟ixth great extinction鈥 based on loss of species in 2018.

Re: 鈥淭hese species went extinct in 2018, more doomed to follow,鈥 Jan. 6.

The author of this article claims that we are facing a 鈥渟ixth great extinction鈥 based on loss of species in 2018. Indeed, he states that extinctions are 1,000 to 10,000 times greater than the natural 鈥渂ackground鈥 rate of one to five species a year, to the point where an estimated 1,000 species have gone extinct in the past 500 years.

Let鈥檚 do the math on this, based on the writer鈥檚 own figures. The 鈥渘atural鈥 extinction rate, according to the article, is one to five species a year. If 1,000 species have gone extinct in the past 500 years, that鈥檚 two species per year, well within the limits of 鈥渘atural鈥 extinction and a far, far cry from the claimed extinction rate of 1,000 to 10,000 times the background rate.

Yes, humans are causing extinctions, and quite likely at a rate higher than nature. But a 鈥渟ixth great extinction鈥? This article is yet another eco-pessimist attempt to get a scary headline without the facts to back it up.

Paul MacRae

Victoria