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Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau returns to Greater Victoria on eve of election

Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau rallied supporters at the Bard and Banker pub on Sunday night ahead of what pollsters predict could be an historic finish in battleground sa国际传媒
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau attends an event at the Bard and Banker pub in Victoria on Sunday, OCt. 20, 2019.

Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau rallied supporters at the Bard and Banker pub on Sunday night ahead of what pollsters predict could be an historic finish in battleground sa国际传媒

鈥淪uch an incredible corner of the country,鈥 Trudeau told the packed house of Liberal candidates and supporters.

鈥淚 couldn鈥檛 imagine a better place to wrap up this campaign than with all of you.鈥

There's a lot going on in this election, he said, with a lot of attacks and a lot said. 鈥淎ndrew Scheer seems to want to make you think this election is about me. This election isn't about me. This election is about you. This election is about Canadians. This election is about our future and our kids鈥 future.鈥

Trudeau said the Liberal government was 鈥渏ust getting started.鈥

On Monday, "I need all of you and all of your friends to get out and vote," said the Liberal leader, who visited Saanich at the start of the campaign.

鈥淢obilize the vote. Make sure Liberals and progressives get out to vote and show that we are a country, ambitious and looking towards the future and ready tomorrow night to choose forward.鈥

The Liberals and Conservatives are locked in a dead heat federally. Aggregated polls had the Conservatives at 32.0 per cent and the Liberals at 31.8 on Sunday.

鈥淲e haven鈥檛 seen an election this close easily in a generation 鈥 30 or 40 years we haven鈥檛 seen anything this close,鈥 said David Black, a Royal Roads University political analyst.

鈥淭his is where the outcome will arguably be defined,鈥 Black said. 鈥渟a国际传媒, as unlikely as it is, may be the place where the shape of this government is ultimately decided, whether it鈥檚 a Conservative or Liberal minority given that the two largest parties are essentially tied here鈥 a day before votes are cast.

as well as Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and Green Leader Elizabeth May all campaigned in sa国际传媒 on Sunday testifies to the province鈥檚 crucial role, Black said.

Scheer, , said there is still time for voters to look at and swing tomorrow鈥檚 election.

May was 鈥 spending time at Big Wheel Burger in Victoria with candidate Racelle Kooy, in Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke with David Merner and in Cowichan-Malahat-Langford with Lydia Hwitsum.

Having attracted large crowds in Saanich and Oak Bay on Friday night and more in Burnaby on Saturday, Singh was .

鈥渟a国际传媒 is the most volatile province right now, there are more three- and four-party competitive races races than you typically see elsewhere across sa国际传媒,鈥 Black said. It makes predicting an outcome, very difficult, he said.

鈥淭hat makes this race tantalizing for strategists,鈥 he said. 鈥淎nd it creates a certain amount of drama that this race is close and competitive.鈥

When Parliament dissolved, the Liberals held 17 of 42 seats in sa国际传媒 and Trudeau鈥檚 visit is about them holding on to as many of those seats as they can, Black said. Eight Liberal-Conservative races in the Lower Mainland are 鈥渢oss ups,鈥 he said.

Here on the Island, voters lean more left than the rest of the country, so what will be 鈥渨eighing on people鈥檚 minds Monday鈥 will be what a vote for the Greens or NDP means in the face of a Conservative or Liberal win, Black said.

The fact that Trudeau is ending his campaign in Victoria is more about the province as a whole than about Victoria Liberal candidate Nikki Macdonald, Black said. Polls are suggesting the race in the riding is between Green candidate Racelle Kooy and New Democrat Laurel Collins, he said.

鈥淭he decision to end in Victoria is more about the importance of sa国际传媒 generally to the possibility of a Liberal minority government,鈥 Black said.

Since the 1990s, the Island has had only two Liberal MPs, including Keith Martin, who was first elected under the Reform Party banner. David Anderson represented Victoria from 1993 to 2006. The riding has been held by the NDP since.

Macdonald isn't fazed. She notes her father, Donald S. Macdonald, was thought to be a long shot in 1962 when he ended a 30-year Conservative reign in his Toronto riding and won the Rosedale seat for the Liberals, becoming a cabinet minister.

The political story on the last day of campaigning is the closeness of the election, said Black, adding that could help drive up voter participation.

As Trudeau left the pub Sunday night, he was swarmed for selfies from teens through seniors. He obliged each and every one for that time, it seemed as though it was 2015 again.

"In 2015 we made a choice as a country to pull together and pick a better government 鈥 that invests in people, invests in communities, invests in families, invests in the future and fights climate change and that's exactly what we are doing," he told the crowd inside.

"Canadians came together from coast to coast to coast to say enough to Stephen Harper's cuts."

That choice has worked out for Canadians, Trudeau said. "Over that four years the Liberal government created over one million new jobs, most of them full time, and the lowest unemployment rate in four years ... and lifted 900,000 people out of poverty," he said, as the crowd chanted "four more years."

He also lauded sa国际传媒's carbon tax while promoting the federal version. "For the first time ever we have a pan-Canadian framework to fight climate change that means the entire country is following sa国际传媒's lead and we have put a price on pollution right across the country."

On the campaign trail Trudeau has talked of the diversity of the nation, which Black said can be found in sa国际传媒, a resource-driven province also focused on ending climate change. 鈥淚n sa国际传媒 you see that split more than in any other province.鈥

In sa国际传媒 there is much support for the carbon tax, which the Conservatives say they will cancel.

And while Trudeau has faced criticism about expanding the pipeline, others in Alberta and in the Interior and northern sa国际传媒 have accused him of not doing enough for the oil and gas sector, Black said.

鈥淭here鈥檚 a certain poetry to his presence here,鈥 he said. 鈥渟a国际传媒 frames this grand bargain that this government will be remembered for, win or lose this election.鈥

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